Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 1.282542 1.544782 1.867658 2.301730 2.881629 3.647233 4.765844e+00
2025-01-12 0.896218 1.185683 1.592877 2.233480 3.269861 4.993296 8.373337e+00
2025-01-19 0.699316 0.983748 1.421537 2.192881 3.641575 6.579626 1.428454e+01
2025-01-26 0.612642 0.908276 1.400680 2.363954 4.460483 9.734242 2.969350e+01
2025-02-02 0.543188 0.838819 1.363053 2.481680 5.255193 13.857696 6.379817e+01
2025-02-09 0.477020 0.758773 1.282062 2.475467 5.762618 18.027085 1.309842e+02
2025-02-16 0.419100 0.681617 1.186634 2.399816 6.040843 22.029039 2.659904e+02
2025-02-23 0.383820 0.639401 1.150352 2.451471 6.768609 30.082861 8.702483e+02
2025-03-02 0.358603 0.611693 1.137468 2.558855 7.812197 44.094220 7.267405e+03
2025-03-09 0.331049 0.574918 1.096679 2.575134 8.545829 60.157405 1.030540e+06
2025-03-16 0.300747 0.528400 1.024921 2.476536 8.707131 72.437164 NaN
2025-03-23 0.285772 0.511434 1.018989 2.580471 10.010222 114.296662 NaN
2025-03-30 0.267653 0.486034 0.989409 2.603675 10.987664 171.124373 NaN
2025-04-06 0.246925 0.452685 0.934690 2.523967 11.293684 224.173697 NaN
2025-04-13 0.230017 0.425860 0.892400 2.476352 11.809485 314.718643 NaN
2025-04-20 0.224482 0.423616 0.913813 2.678030 14.597841 832.353325 NaN
2025-04-27 0.216814 0.415526 0.918015 2.817287 17.311552 2538.747609 NaN
2025-05-04 0.205201 0.396950 0.889809 2.809931 18.662678 6451.013056 NaN
2025-05-11 0.192341 0.374193 0.846305 2.720418 18.988983 13633.661567 NaN
2025-05-18 0.184810 0.363436 0.836092 2.781522 21.446427 190016.460370 NaN
2025-05-25 0.179471 0.357410 0.838931 2.908781 25.437142 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.171948 0.345272 0.821304 2.928101 27.988442 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.162053 0.326403 0.780285 2.811197 27.812130 NaN NaN